Sometimes people ask me when I'll make another call. I don't know; I'm very data dependent!
But I was wondering if this counts? Back in December I wrote The Endless Parade of Recession Calls. I concluded:
Looking at the economic data, the odds of a recession in 2016 are very low (extremely unlikely in my view). Someday I'll make another recession call, but I'm not even on recession watch now.So far that looks correct. And I'm still not on recession watch.
from Calculated Risk http://ift.tt/22sgjVq
via YQ Matrix
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